21 Jul Get this from a library! Il cigno nero: come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita. [ Nassim Nicholas Taleb]. Get this from a library! Il cigno nero: come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita. [ Nassim Nicholas Taleb; Elisabetta Nifosi]. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is a book by author and former options trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb. The book focuses on the.

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Taleb uses it to illustrate the philosophical problem of induction and how past performance is no indicator of future performance. Sheik marked it as to-read Sep 20, First, I would replace almost all with all Remember me on cigo computer. Visit our Beautiful Books page and find lovely books for kids, photography lovers and more.

Robustezza e fragilità

Dan ini hanyalah akan memberi kesan domino kepada kerjaya dalam industri matematik aplikasi statistik, kebarangkaliankewangan dan lebih khusus sebenarnya Sains Aktuari. Gianluigi rated it really liked it Sep 19, He recommends avoiding unnecessary dependence on large-scale harmful predictions, while being less cautious with smaller matters, such as going talbe a picnic.

His current focus is on the properties of systems that can handle disorder “antifragile”.

Sergey rated it liked it Oct 07, The fact that he has predicted the financial crisis is an over-reaction haleb the media, the writer puts it clearly that such events aren’t predictable at all. She also hates the very idea of forcing things into well defined “categories”, holding that the world generally is complex and not easy to define. You will accumulate more knowledge and more books as you grow older, and the growing number of unread books on the shelves will cigni at you menancingly.


Come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita. You already recently rated this item. It spent 36 weeks on the New York Times Bestseller list ; [13] 17 as hardcover and 19 weeks as paperback.

In chapter nerp, Taleb outlines the multiple topics he previously has described and connects them as a single basic idea. About Nassim Nicholas Taleb. What happened in Lebanon like in many other countries demonstrates how a Black Swan was able to turn the tables around and change everything. Maka, disebabkan itu, penulisan beliau panjang tentang pengetahuan problem of knowledge bagi mereka yang mengandaikan mengetahui perkara yang mereka tidak tahu mereka tidak tahu the unknown unknowniaitu Black Swan.

Genti marked it as to-read Mar 19, Write a review Rate this item: Dispatched from the UK in 3 business days When will my order arrive? I cigni neri sono eventi rari, di grandissimo impatto e prevedibili solo a posteriori, come l’invenzione della ruota, l’11 settembre, il crollo di Wall Street e il successo di Google.

See Wikipedia for more details.

Taleb writes clearly and entertainingly about some difficult and turgid subjects. Since being published inas of February it has sold close to three million copies. No, it has nothing to do with the Natalie Portman movie. Other books in this series.


Norse Myths Kevin Crossley-Holland. Chapter four brings together the topics discussed earlier, into a narrative about a turkey.

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable – Wikipedia

Search WorldCat Find items in libraries near you. Several hundred thousand students in business schools and social science departments from Singapore to Urbana-Champaign, as well as people in the business world, continue to study “scientific” methods, all grounded in the Gaussian, all embedded in the ludic fallacy’ ‘.

His key practical point is about the need for a NON-parametric look at any situation in which low-probability events can carry a high-impact. Okay, let’s see if I got it straight The Barefoot Investor Scott Pape.

Il cigno nero. Come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita

Please verify that you are not a robot. His website describes him as a Commercial Ideas-Facilitator, and his contracts regularly run into six figures.

Arush Kharbanda marked it as to-read May 21,